One Year into Australia’s International Student Reforms
We have prepared an overview of Australia’s international student landscape over the past year, and it may be deeply concerning.
Visa Grants & Enrollment Trends
- Between October 2023 and August 2024, Australia issued just 298,000 study visas, a 38% drop from the same period the previous year.
- Nonetheless, the total international student population continued to grow, reaching 853,045 in 2024, largely due to existing visa holders and commencements.
- On June 30, 2024, there were 608,262 international student visa holders residing in Australia, a 7% increase from the year prior.
Visa Approval Rates & Policy Shifts
- Approval rates have dropped sharply. In the second half of 2023 (to December), only 80.9% of student visa applications were granted, the lowest since 2005‑06.
- Key reforms introduced in between 2024 and 2025 included a visa fee increase (to $2,000), tighter English test and financial requirements, and new age limitations for Temporary Graduate visas.
- Ministerial directions have also prioritised applications based on “risk”, contributing to refusal rates climbing from around 5% (higher ed) to over 40% for VET and ELICOS.
Impact on Providers and Students
- The caps and rising visa scrutiny have had tangible consequences: some training providers reported enrolment cuts of up to 60%, leading to layoffs. Several key providers closed their doors.
Looking Ahead to 2026 and Beyond
- The Albanese government has increased the international student cap to 295,000 new placements in 2025, up from around 270,000 in 2024, with a stated focus on sustainable growth and a stronger intake from South-east Asian markets.
- At the same time, a significant cohort of temporary visa holders, including more than 100,000 COVID visa and Working Holiday visa holders, is expected to depart by the end of 2025.
- In the VET and ELICOS sectors, enrolments have fallen by as much as 49%, eroding the traditional pathway into higher education courses and impacting long-term student pipelines.
What This Means for Stakeholders?
- More Competition, Higher Stakes: With stricter criteria and caps, the pathway to studying in Australia has become more competitive.
- Strategy Is Everything: Timing, application strength, English scores, and financial proof, these elements now determine success more than ever.
- Stay Agile: Keep abreast of changing caps, fee structures, and policy shifts; these may affect planning, especially for alternative or regional pathways.
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